gme-fund.com

Simulation Tool ©

Simulate a hypothetical performance based on your personal assumptions. Be aware that compared to the "Producer vs Gold"-ratio altering the "Explorer vs Producer"-ratio has a greater impact on price performance (Beta statistics: Explorer > Producers > Gold).

       
  NAV as per 31.10.2010: CHF  
       
 
Insert your 4 assumptions
   
       
  Where do you see the USD Gold price per ounce?
       
  Where do you expect the Producer versus Gold ratio to trade? Move on for historical comparison.
       
  Where do you expect the Explorers versus the Producers trade? Move on for historical comparison.
       
  When do you expect these levels to be achieved
       
 
 
     


 
Your Results
   
       
  Simulated NAV based on your assumptions  
       
  Total Return based on your assumptions  
       
  Annualized Return based on your assumptions  
       
       
       

To better gauge the value of both ratios respectively their boundaries over the last 25 years a quick look at both graphics might be instructive. Important to mention that metal mining prices went through a secular bear trend from the early 80’s to the late 90’s. That said the two ratios had a tendency to rather stay on the low side of their trading boundaries over that period. If you expect still higher metal prices going forward than you should see oscillating these ratios between medium to high.

Because no metal explorer index exists we created an own basket – its robustness is reconfirmed by its very high correlation coefficient against the S&P/TSX Venture index that consists of explorers to a large part.

Important Disclaimer

This simulation tool is in no way a performance guarantee for the Global Metal Exploration Fund and should neither be used as a sole reason to invest in the Fund or any metal explorers companies. Its propriety parameters are based on historical data’s using a Gold&Silver Producer index as well as some selected Canadian based exploration companies. Neither the Fund nor its partners (Manager, advisors and others) can be held responsible for any losses in direct or indirect relation with simulations performed on this website. 

Simulation tool ©

Performance simulation